tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8264230419520515196.post7560935885643672877..comments2023-10-26T04:44:31.789-04:00Comments on The Dan Ward: PredictionsAnonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08923543314100538622noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8264230419520515196.post-7383554605527766262008-10-01T01:52:00.000-04:002008-10-01T01:52:00.000-04:00Dude, my answer is, what are the HTP's trained in?...Dude, my answer is, what are the HTP's trained in?<BR/><BR/>Maybe neither one knows anything about the subject matter in which the event will occur. So just becasue they are HTPs, doesn't mean they know everything.<BR/><BR/>This happens to me A LOT. Many HTPs making predictions about stuff they just don't know about.<BR/><BR/>Maybe a kindergarten should actually have been predicting the eventGabehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03491164740457304897noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8264230419520515196.post-33507336600927400192008-09-30T13:06:00.000-04:002008-09-30T13:06:00.000-04:00You guys crack me up - and don't worry, Kim, there...You guys crack me up - and don't worry, Kim, there's plenty of nerdiness to go around!<BR/><BR/>Remind me again who works in a science lab at a university?Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08923543314100538622noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8264230419520515196.post-3762362531882578892008-09-29T14:51:00.000-04:002008-09-29T14:51:00.000-04:00Hey - I resemble that remark!Hey - I resemble that remark!Markhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13323501105709720347noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8264230419520515196.post-83512980656901420912008-09-29T14:39:00.000-04:002008-09-29T14:39:00.000-04:00If a girl (G) has two brothers (B), and B1 has a 3...If a girl (G) has two brothers (B), and B1 has a 30% chance of being nerdy and B2 has a 70% chance of being nerdy, but they both end up nerdy, have they used up all 100% of the family nerdiness?Kimhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13885017846154176305noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8264230419520515196.post-41695917870317849682008-09-29T12:27:00.000-04:002008-09-29T12:27:00.000-04:00Slightly different thought experiment...There are ...Slightly different thought experiment...<BR/><BR/>There are 1,000 opportunities for an event to occur. At each opportunity, HTP #1 says there is a 30% chance of it occurring, while HTP #2 says there is a 70% chance.<BR/><BR/>At the end of the 1,000 opportunities, 290 actual events were noted.<BR/><BR/>Now who was more correct?<BR/><BR/>Probability is all about implying the properties of a whole and relating that to the properties of the individual.Markhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13323501105709720347noreply@blogger.com